Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Nottingham Forest Under-21s had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.31%) and 2-3 (4.91%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-21s would win this match.