Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 63.08%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 15.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.15%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Beijing Guoan in this match.