Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Henan Songshan Longmen win with a probability of 60.92%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Guangzhou City had a probability of 16.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Henan Songshan Longmen win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Guangzhou City win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Henan Songshan Longmen would win this match.