The Match
Match Report
Olivier Giroud and Kylian Mbappe score the goals as France beat Poland 3-1 to advance to the quarter-finals of the 2022 World Cup.
Team News
France left-back Theo Hernandez is passed fit to start in Sunday's World Cup 2022 last-16 battle with Poland after a scare over an ankle injury.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup clash between France and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Sunday's World Cup 2022 last-16 clash with Poland.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tunisia 1-0 France
Wednesday, November 30 at 3pm in World Cup
Wednesday, November 30 at 3pm in World Cup
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Australia | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Denmark | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 71.7%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Poland had a probability of 10.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a France win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.04%) and 3-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Poland win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France would win this match.
| Result | ||
| France | Draw | Poland |
71.7% ( -0.14) | 17.49% ( 0.08) | 10.8% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 47.43% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
