Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.