Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.