Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan Under-20s win with a probability of 52.71%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for New Zealand Under-20s had a probability of 19.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan Under-20s win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.89%), while for a New Zealand Under-20s win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.