Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 38.27%. A win for Monagas had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Monagas win was 1-0 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.