Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Port win with a probability of 59.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 17.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Port win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Port would win this match.