Although Sivasspor won the Turkish Cup last season, we do not expect them to be able to reach the final for the second year in a row, as their league form has been terrible, losing their last four games.
As such, Fenerbahce should run out comfortable winners, booking their place in the final against either Ankaragucu or Istanbul Basaksehir.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 67.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 14.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 3-1 (7.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 1-2 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
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