Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 60.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Monagas had a probability of 15.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.93%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Monagas win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Colo-Colo in this match.