Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Monagas had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Monagas win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.