Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 52.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 23.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Beijing Guoan win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.