Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 53.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 22.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Halifax Town | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 53.33% ( | 23.83% ( | 22.83% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.11% ( | 47.88% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.93% ( | 70.06% ( |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.1% ( | 17.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.32% ( | 48.68% ( |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.64% ( | 35.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.89% ( | 72.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Halifax Town | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% ( 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 2-0 @ 9.36% ( 3-1 @ 5.59% ( 3-0 @ 5.37% ( 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 4-1 @ 2.4% ( 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 4-2 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 3.52% Total : 53.33% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 3-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 1-2 @ 5.89% ( 0-2 @ 3.42% ( 1-3 @ 2.04% ( 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 1.97% Total : 22.83% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 35 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 90 | 34 | 56 | 85 |
| 2 | Notts County | 36 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 90 | 33 | 57 | 84 |
| 3 | Woking | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
| 4 | Barnet | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 65 | 57 | 8 | 59 |
| 5 | Chesterfield | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57 | 42 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Eastleigh | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 57 |
| 7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 55 |
| 8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 53 |
| 9 | Bromley | 35 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 52 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 51 |
| 11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 49 |
| 12 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 46 |
| 13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 45 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 48 | -8 | 43 |
| 15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 41 |
| 16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 41 |
| 17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 39 |
| 18 | York City | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 36 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 34 |
| 20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 33 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 33 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 33 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 30 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 27 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 38 | 77 | -39 | 24 |
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