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Torquay United
National League | Gameweek 18
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Plainmoor Ground

Torquay Utd
3 - 3
Dorking

De Silva (12', 65'), Ellis (80')
Ness (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wheeler (45+1'), McShane (51'), Muitt (53')
Lincoln (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's National League clash between Torquay United and Dorking Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dorking 0-3 Aldershot
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League

We said: Torquay United 2-2 Dorking Wanderers

Games involving Dorking Wanderers have tended to be high-scoring affairs so far this season, and we expect this one to be no different. Torquay picked up a good result against Derby County last time out, but with the visitors being a lot higher than them in the table, this fixture may well end as a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.77%) and 2-0 (5.2%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Torquay UnitedDrawDorking Wanderers
42.17% (0.10299999999999 0.1) 22.42% (-0.119 -0.12) 35.41% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 67.3% (0.468 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.83% (0.60599999999999 0.61)33.17% (-0.607 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.08% (0.693 0.69)54.92% (-0.694 -0.69)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.51% (0.286 0.29)16.48% (-0.288 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.8% (0.514 0.51)46.2% (-0.516 -0.52)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.58% (0.28400000000001 0.28)19.41% (-0.285 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.76% (0.46400000000001 0.46)51.24% (-0.466 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Torquay United 42.17%
    Dorking Wanderers 35.41%
    Draw 22.42%
Torquay UnitedDrawDorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.52% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 5.77% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-0 @ 5.2% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.12% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.2% (0.062 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.13% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.89% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.03% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 42.17%
1-1 @ 9.46% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-2 @ 6.99% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.2% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-3 @ 2.29% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.42%
1-2 @ 7.75% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.25% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4.3% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.82% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.74% (0.024 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.56% (0.035 0.04)
0-4 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
3-4 @ 0.94% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 35.41%

How you voted: Torquay Utd vs Dorking

Torquay United
50.0%
Draw
50.0%
Dorking Wanderers
0.0%
6
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet38267580324885
2York City37228769353474
3Forest Green RoversForest Green381915459322772
4Oldham AthleticOldham381615755401563
5Halifax TownHalifax361711846331362
6Gateshead371791165491660
7Rochdale341681049301956
8AltrinchamAltrincham3615101157461155
9Southend UnitedSouthend371314104842653
10Eastleigh381314115247553
11Tamworth381312135058-851
12Sutton UnitedSutton361211134749-247
13Solihull MoorsSolihull36137165254-246
14Yeovil TownYeovil381210164151-1046
15Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool371015124347-445
16Aldershot TownAldershot351013125457-343
17Braintree TownBraintree37119173949-1042
18Woking36914133850-1241
19Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead37107204368-2537
20Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red37812174856-836
21WealdstoneWealdstone35812154561-1636
22Fylde36106204268-2636
23Boston UnitedBoston35810173651-1534
24Ebbsfleet38211252780-5317


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