Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Scarborough Athletic in this match.