Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 81.98%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 6.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 3-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.3%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-2 (2.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.