La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 33

Apr 22, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys

Barcelona
1 - 0
Mallorca

Olmo (46')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Samu (25')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 4-3 Celta Vigo
Saturday, April 19 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mallorca

All competitions

Last Game: Mallorca 0-0 Leganes
Saturday, April 19 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 81.98%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 6.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 3-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.3%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-2 (2.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Mallorca
81.98% ( -0.14)	11.55% ( 0.1)	6.47% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 50.92% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.69% (

-0.36)

27.31% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.12% (

-0.45)

47.88% (

0.46)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.05% (

-0.09)

4.94% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.19% (

-0.27)

19.81% (

0.27)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.57% (

-0.18)

46.43% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.95% (

-0.14)

82.05% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Barcelona 81.97%

Mallorca 6.47%

Draw 11.55%

Barcelona	Draw	Mallorca
3-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 6% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) 7-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.29% Total : 81.97%	1-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.06% 0-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.91% Total : 11.55%	1-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.68% Total : 6.47%