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Atletico Madrid logo
Copa del Rey | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 2, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Barcelona logo

Atletico
0 - 1
Barcelona


Azpilicueta (6'), Simeone (9'), De Paul (13'), Mandava (31'), Alvarez (45+3'), Molina (59')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Torres (27')
de Jong (35'), Balde (68')

The Match

Match Report

Barcelona set up a mouthwatering Copa del Rey final against bitter rivals Real Madrid courtesy of a 1-0 victory over Atletico Madrid at Wanda Metropolitano.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Atletico Madrid and Barcelona.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Atletico Madrid and Barcelona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Atletico Madrid could line up for Wednesday's Copa del Rey semi-final second leg against Barcelona at the Metropolitano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Espanyol 1-1 Atletico
Saturday, March 29 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Barcelona

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Barcelona 4-1 Girona
Sunday, March 30 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawBarcelona
34.26% (-0.162 -0.16) 24.72% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 41.01% (0.234 0.23)
Both teams to score 58.35% (0.254 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.27% (0.34800000000001 0.35)44.72% (-0.36000000000001 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.91% (0.335 0.34)67.08% (-0.34700000000001 -0.35)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (0.067999999999998 0.07)25.36% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.83% (0.098000000000006 0.1)60.16% (-0.111 -0.11)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (0.262 0.26)21.81% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.97% (0.402 0.4)55.02% (-0.415 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 34.26%
    Barcelona 41.01%
    Draw 24.72%
Atletico MadridDrawBarcelona
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.59% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.21% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.38% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 34.26%
1-1 @ 11.55% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.04% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.72%
1-2 @ 8.8% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 8.42% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
0-2 @ 6.41% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.47% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.26% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.06% (0.04 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.7% (0.032 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 41.01%

How you voted: Atletico vs Barcelona

Atletico Madrid
15.0%
Draw
9.8%
Barcelona
75.2%
214
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2025 8pm
Gameweek 28
Atletico
2-4
Barcelona
Alvarez (45'), Sorloth (70')
Mandava (36')
Lewandowski (72'), Torres (78', 90+8'), Yamal (90+2')
Kounde (26'), Balde (64'), Yamal (90+3')
> Match Report
Feb 25, 2025 8.30pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Barcelona
4-4
Atletico
Pedri (19'), Cubarsi (21'), Martinez (41'), Lewandowski (74')
Alvarez (1'), Griezmann (6'), Llorente (84'), Sorloth (90+3')
Galan (16'), Simeone (70'), Gimenez (82'), Barrios (88'), Sorloth (90+1')
> Match Report
Dec 21, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 18
Barcelona
1-2
Atletico
Pedri (30')
De Paul (60'), Sorloth (90+6')
Witsel (54'), Le Normand (77'), Gimenez (90+7')
> Match Report
Mar 17, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 29
Atletico
0-3
Barcelona

De Paul (46'), Savic (61'), Barrios (89')
Molina (90+2')
Felix (38'), Lewandowski (47'), Lopez (65')
Kounde (33'), Xavi (41')
Xavi (42')
> Match Report
Dec 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 15
Barcelona
1-0
Atletico
Felix (28')
Felix (50'), Torres (78'), Araujo (79'), Xavi (82'), Cancelo (87'), de Jong (90+3')

Gimenez (31'), Witsel (34'), Koke (38'), Azpilicueta (47')
> Match Report
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