Champions League header

Champions League

Atletico Madrid logo
Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 12, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Real Madrid logo

Atletico
1 - 0
Real Madrid

Gallagher (1')
Simeone (66'), Lenglet (68'), Azpilicueta (114'), Llorente (115')
FT
(aet)

Tchouameni (39'), Junior (59'), Vazquez (115'), Mbappe (128')
Real Madrid win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Real Madrid will take on Arsenal in the quarter-finals of the Champions League courtesy of a penalty-shootout success over bitter rivals Atletico Madrid in the last 16.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Atletico Madrid could line up in the second leg of their Champions League last 16 tie against city rivals Real Madrid on Wednesday.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League last 16 second leg away to city rivals Atletico Madrid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Getafe 2-1 Atletico
Sunday, March 9 at 1pm in La Liga

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, March 9 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%).

Result
Atletico MadridDrawReal Madrid
39.85% (0.851 0.85)25.38% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)34.76% (-0.767 -0.77)
Both teams to score 56.15% (0.182 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.38% (0.287 0.29)47.62% (-0.291 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.17% (0.264 0.26)69.82% (-0.267 -0.27)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.34% (0.56699999999999 0.57)23.65% (-0.571 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.25% (0.814 0.81)57.75% (-0.816 -0.82)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.55% (-0.31399999999999 -0.31)26.45% (0.309 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.37% (-0.41999999999999 -0.42)61.62% (0.415 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 39.85%
    Real Madrid 34.76%
    Draw 25.38%
Atletico MadridDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 9.02% (0.041 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.65% (0.107 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.5% (0.137 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.119 0.12)
3-0 @ 3.12% (0.116 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.055 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.068 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.13% (0.06 0.06)
4-2 @ 1% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 39.85%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.32% (-0.176 -0.18)
1-2 @ 7.98% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-2 @ 5.53% (-0.167 -0.17)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 34.76%

How you voted: Atletico vs Real Madrid

Atletico Madrid
31.0%
Draw
22.7%
Real Madrid
46.3%
387
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2025 8pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Real Madrid
2-1
Atletico
Rodrygo (4'), Diaz (55')
Diaz (55')
Alvarez (32')
> Match Report
Feb 8, 2025 8pm
Gameweek 23
Real Madrid
1-1
Atletico
Mbappe (50')
Ceballos (25')
Alvarez (35' pen.)
Lenglet (45+4'), Galan (49'), Sorloth (90+2')
> Match Report
Sep 29, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 8
Atletico
1-1
Real Madrid
Correa (90+6')
Le Normand (63'), Gallagher (70'), Alvarez (75')
Llorente (90+9')
Militao (64')
Modric (40')
> Match Report
Feb 4, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 23
Real Madrid
1-1
Atletico
Diaz (20')
Llorente (90+3')
Niguez (37'), Hermoso (38'), Barrios (85'), Depay (90+5')
> Match Report
Jan 18, 2024 8.30pm
Round of 16
Atletico
4-2
Real Madrid
Lino (39'), Morata (57'), Griezmann (100'), Riquelme (119')
Morata (58'), Hermoso (68'), De Paul (78'), Koke (80'), Simeone (83'), Griezmann (101'), Witsel (113')
Oblak (45+1' og.), Joselu (82')
Junior (45'), Camavinga (56'), Diaz (68'), Tchouameni (85'), Bellingham (87'), Carvajal (89')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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