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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 63.09%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 15.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Celta Vigo | 
| 63.09% (  -0.51) | 21.22% (  0.26) | 15.68% (  0.25) | 
| Both teams to score 49.07% (  -0.28) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.96% (  -0.67) | 47.03% (  0.67) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.72% (  -0.63) | 69.28% (  0.63) | 
| Atletico Madrid Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85.72% (  -0.38) | 14.28% (  0.37) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.93% (  -0.73) | 42.07% (  0.73) | 
| Celta Vigo Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 57.25% (  -0.08) | 42.75% (  0.08) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.92% (  -0.07) | 79.08% (  0.07) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Celta Vigo | 
| 1-0 @ 11.88% (  0.18) 2-0 @ 11.56% (  0.02) 2-1 @ 9.83% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.5% (  -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.38% (  -0.09) 4-0 @ 3.65% (  -0.1) 4-1 @ 3.1% (  -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.71% (  -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.42% (  -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.32% (  -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.21% (  -0.05) Other @ 2.53% Total : 63.09% | 1-1 @ 10.09% (  0.12) 0-0 @ 6.1% (  0.17) 2-2 @ 4.18% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.85% Total : 21.22% | 0-1 @ 5.19% (  0.13) 1-2 @ 4.29% (  0.04) 0-2 @ 2.2% (  0.05) 1-3 @ 1.22% (  0.01) 2-3 @ 1.18% (  -0.01) Other @ 1.6% Total : 15.68% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 | 
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 | 
| 8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 | 
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 | 
| 10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 | 
| 11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 | 
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 | 
| 13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 | 
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 | 
| 15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 | 
| 16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 | 
| 17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 | 
| 18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 | 
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 | 
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
