Salzburg

1 - 4

Atletico

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 60.43%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 20.12% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.5%) and 1-3 (7.24%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 (5.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.