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Champions League

PSG logo
Champions League | League Stage
Nov 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Atletico Madrid logo

PSG
1 - 2
Atletico

Zaire-Emery (14')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Molina (18'), Correa (90+3')
Correa (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: PSG 1-0 Lens
Saturday, November 2 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Atletico 2-0 Las Palmas
Sunday, November 3 at 1pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 22.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawAtletico Madrid
53.85% (3.784 3.78)23.27% (0.016999999999999 0.02)22.88% (-3.798 -3.8)
Both teams to score 54.95% (-4.214 -4.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.56% (-3.665 -3.67)45.44% (3.669 3.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.23% (-3.597 -3.6)67.77% (3.6 3.6)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.2% (0.025999999999996 0.03)16.8% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.23% (0.045999999999999 0.05)46.77% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.04% (-5.083 -5.08)33.95% (5.087 5.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.37% (-5.894 -5.89)70.63% (5.896 5.9)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 53.85%
    Atletico Madrid 22.88%
    Draw 23.27%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.17% (1.513 1.51)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.218 0.22)
2-0 @ 9.08% (1.36 1.36)
3-1 @ 5.83% (0.134 0.13)
3-0 @ 5.4% (0.813 0.81)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.39 -0.39)
4-1 @ 2.6% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.41% (0.364 0.36)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.172 -0.17)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 53.85%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.24 0.24)
0-0 @ 5.7% (0.847 0.85)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.66 -0.66)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.332 -0.33)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.27%
0-1 @ 6.16% (0.128 0.13)
1-2 @ 5.94% (-0.745 -0.75)
0-2 @ 3.33% (-0.421 -0.42)
1-3 @ 2.14% (-0.63 -0.63)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.56 -0.56)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.354 -0.35)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 22.88%

How you voted: PSG vs Atletico

Paris Saint-Germain
67.9%
Draw
19.3%
Atletico Madrid
12.8%
274
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2018 12.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
PSG
3-2
Atletico
Nkunku (32'), Diaby (71'), Postolachi (92')
Sissako (74')
Mollejo (75'), Bernede (86' og.)
> Match Report