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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
PSG logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Oct 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
Strasbourg

PSG
4 - 2
Strasbourg

Mayulu (18'), Asensio (47'), Barcola (66'), Kang-in (90')
Beraldo (61'), Skriniar (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mara (58'), Daouda Diongu (90+2')
Senaya (10'), Sow (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 1-1 PSG
Sunday, October 6 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-2 Lens
Sunday, October 6 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Strasbourg

Strasbourg have been one of the overachievers in the early weeks of the campaign, but their away form and record at PSG gives them little chance here. PSG have never lost in 33 previous home clashes with their upcoming opponents, and they are set to maintain their 100% home record so far this season, having already won four from four here in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 73.22%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 11.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 3-0 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawStrasbourg
73.22% (0.47799999999999 0.48) 15.76% (-0.284 -0.28) 11.01% (-0.204 -0.2)
Both teams to score 54.9% (0.397 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.34% (0.834 0.83)32.65% (-0.843 -0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.67% (0.961 0.96)54.32% (-0.97 -0.97)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.31% (0.29300000000001 0.29)7.68% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.6% (0.762 0.76)27.39% (-0.771 -0.77)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.47% (0.236 0.24)40.52% (-0.245 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.87% (0.214 0.21)77.12% (-0.223 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 73.22%
    Strasbourg 11.01%
    Draw 15.76%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawStrasbourg
2-0 @ 10.25% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-0 @ 8.77% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.99% (-0.239 -0.24)
3-1 @ 7.92% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 5.63% (0.090000000000001 0.09)
4-1 @ 5.08% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.051 0.05)
5-0 @ 2.89% (0.088 0.09)
5-1 @ 2.61% (0.096 0.1)
4-2 @ 2.3% (0.066 0.07)
6-0 @ 1.24% (0.056 0.06)
5-2 @ 1.18% (0.051 0.05)
6-1 @ 1.12% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 73.22%
1-1 @ 7.22% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 3.11% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 15.76%
1-2 @ 3.26% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-1 @ 2.81% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-2 @ 1.27% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 11.01%

How you voted: PSG vs Strasbourg

Paris Saint-Germain
82.5%
Draw
11.3%
Strasbourg
6.2%
97
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 20
Strasbourg
1-2
PSG
Bakwa (68')
Sissoko (27'), Mwanga (54'), Senaya (63'), Vieira (77')
Mbappe (31'), Asensio (49')
Hernandez (30')
Oct 21, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 9
PSG
3-0
Strasbourg
Mbappe (10' pen.), Soler (31'), Ruiz (77')
Kang-in (82'), Ndour (88')
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Strasbourg
1-1
PSG
Gameiro (79')
Diarra (23')
Messi (59')
Vitinha (6'), Verratti (75')
Dec 28, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
PSG
2-1
Strasbourg
Marquinhos (14'), Mbappe (90+6' pen.)
Marquinhos (51' og.)
Apr 29, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 35
Strasbourg
3-3
PSG
Gameiro (3'), Verratti (75' og.), Caci (90+1')
Bellegarde (8'), Prcic (41'), Lienard (60')
Mbappe (23', 68'), Hakimi (64')
Neymar (73'), Kimpembe (90+2'), Donnarumma (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG31246184315378
2Marseille31184966432358
3Lille31168749321756
4MonacoMonaco31167858362255
5Lyon31166962422054
6Nice31159759392054
7StrasbourgStrasbourg31159751381354
8Lens31136123537-245
9Brest31135134953-444
10Auxerre31118124545041
11Rennes31122174644238
12Toulouse3198143839-135
13Reims3189143242-1033
14NantesNantes31711133550-1532
15Angers3186172950-2130
16Le HavreLe Havre3184193465-3128
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3176183471-3727
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier3144232271-4916


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