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Ligue 1

PSG logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2
Aug 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Parc des Princes
Montpellier

PSG
6 - 0
Montpellier

Barcola (4', 53'), Asensio (24'), Hakimi (58'), Zaire-Emery (60'), Kang-in (82')
Dembele (55')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sacko (33'), Chotard (45+2'), Kouyate (50'), Khazri (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Le Havre 1-4 PSG
Friday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, August 18 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 72.43%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 11.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 3-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMontpellier HSC
72.43% (2.98 2.98)15.73% (-0.338 -0.34)11.84% (-2.643 -2.64)
Both teams to score 58.23% (-7.301 -7.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.04% (-5.229 -5.23)29.96% (5.228 5.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.86% (-6.578 -6.58)51.14% (6.577 6.58)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.79% (-0.687 -0.69)7.21% (0.687 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.84% (-1.845 -1.85)26.16% (1.845 1.85)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.75% (-7.35 -7.35)37.24% (7.35 7.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.97% (-8.04 -8.04)74.03% (8.04 8.04)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 72.43%
    Montpellier HSC 11.84%
    Draw 15.73%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawMontpellier HSC
2-0 @ 9.28% (2.019 2.02)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.398 0.4)
3-0 @ 8.14% (1.527 1.53)
3-1 @ 8.04% (0.055 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.06% (1.739 1.74)
4-0 @ 5.35% (0.838 0.84)
4-1 @ 5.29% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-2 @ 3.97% (-0.85 -0.85)
5-0 @ 2.82% (0.35 0.35)
5-1 @ 2.78% (-0.196 -0.2)
4-2 @ 2.61% (-0.68 -0.68)
5-2 @ 1.37% (-0.424 -0.42)
6-0 @ 1.23% (0.112 0.11)
6-1 @ 1.22% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 72.43%
1-1 @ 6.97% (0.549 0.55)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.768 -0.77)
0-0 @ 2.68% (0.736 0.74)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.633 -0.63)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 15.73%
1-2 @ 3.44% (-0.435 -0.44)
0-1 @ 2.65% (0.298 0.3)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.641 -0.64)
0-2 @ 1.31% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.13% (-0.427 -0.43)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 11.84%

How you voted: PSG vs Montpellier

Paris Saint-Germain
91.8%
Draw
7.6%
Montpellier HSC
0.6%
158
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Montpellier
2-6
PSG
Nordin (30'), Savanier (45+2' pen.)
Vitinha (14'), Mbappe (22', 50', 63'), Kang-in (53'), Mendes (89')
Beraldo (38'), Donnarumma (45+2'), Mendes (72')
> Preview
Nov 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 11
PSG
3-0
Montpellier
Kang-in (10'), Zaire-Emery (58'), Vitinha (66')
Mukiele (82')
> Preview
Feb 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 21
Montpellier
1-3
PSG
Nordin (89')
Ruiz (55'), Messi (72'), Zaire-Emery (90+2')
> Preview
Aug 13, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 2
PSG
5-2
Montpellier
Sacko (39' og.), Neymar (43' pen., 51'), Mbappe (69'), Sanches (87')
Kimpembe (60'), Vitinha (66')
Khazri (58'), Tchato Mbiayi (90+1')
Wahi (63')
> Preview
May 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 37
Montpellier
0-4
PSG

Souquet (41'), Ferri (89')
Messi (6', 20'), Di Maria (26'), Mbappe (60' pen.)
Herrera (34'), Simons (70'), Mbappe (85'), Marquinhos (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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