Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Montpellier2 - 6PSG
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nice 1-2 Montpellier
Friday, March 8 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Friday, March 8 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
29
Last Game: PSG 3-1 Nice
Wednesday, March 13 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
Wednesday, March 13 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
We said: Montpellier HSC 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain
Montpellier are always capable of troubling opposition backlines in Savanier territory, but with three new concerns for Der Zakarian to factor in for Sunday's visit of the champions, there should be little for La Paillade to celebrate. Even though Montpellier love a draw at home, and PSG have been guilty of not converting one point into three in recent weeks, the visitors seldom slip up against their hosts and ought to return to winning ways in Ligue 1 in emphatic fashion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 18.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 0-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 2-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
18.91% ( -0.26) | 20.43% ( 0.04) | 60.65% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 58.55% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
