Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Marseille 3-1 Shakhtar
Thursday, February 22 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, February 22 at 8pm in Europa League
We said: Marseille 3-1 Montpellier HSC
Gasset's men should reward their new manager with maximum points against an inconsistent Montpellier side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 59.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 1-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
59.15% ( 0.51) | 21.26% ( -0.17) | 19.59% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 56.81% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
