Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 at 4pm UK
Roazhon Park
We said: Rennes 3-1 Montpellier HSC
Rennes seem to have found their scoring touch while Montpellier are still searching for theirs, and we believe the visitors will have difficulty doing much except perhaps fending off Les Rennais for a period of time.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 46.9% . A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.4% .
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.61%) . The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-2 (7.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Rennes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rennes.
Result Rennes Draw Montpellier HSC 46.9% ( 0.83) 24.35% ( -0.23) 28.74% ( -0.6)
Both teams to score 57.05% ( 0.38)
54.7% ( 0.68) 45.3% ( -0.68)
32.36% ( 0.65) 67.64% ( -0.64)
80.57% ( 0.62) 19.42% ( -0.62)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 48.74% ( 1.01) 51.25% ( -1)
70.81% ( -0.07) 29.19% ( 0.07)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.86% ( -0.09) 65.14% ( 0.09)
Rennes 46.9%
Montpellier HSC 28.75%
Draw 24.35%
Rennes Draw Montpellier HSC 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.1% Total : 46.9% 1-1 @ 11.44% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.35% 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.4% Total : 28.75%
How you voted: Rennes vs Montpellier
Rennes
Draw
Montpellier HSC
25
rhs 2.0
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