Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 53.39%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 24.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Monaco |
| 53.39% ( | 22.17% ( | 24.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.25% ( | 38.74% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.95% ( | 61.05% ( |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.41% ( | 14.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.34% ( | 42.66% ( |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.02% | 28.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.13% ( | 64.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Marseille | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% 1-0 @ 8.13% ( 2-0 @ 7.83% ( 3-1 @ 6.23% ( 3-0 @ 5.03% ( 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 4-1 @ 3% ( 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 5-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 3.26% Total : 53.4% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 4.23% ( 3-3 @ 1.59% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.16% | 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0-1 @ 5.23% ( 0-2 @ 3.24% ( 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 2-3 @ 2.48% 0-3 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 3.32% Total : 24.44% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 28 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 80 | 26 | 54 | 74 |
| 2 | MonacoMonaco | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 53 |
| 3 | Marseille | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 57 | 41 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Lille | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 50 |
| 6 | Nice | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 48 |
| 7 | Lyon | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 54 | 38 | 16 | 48 |
| 8 | Brest | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 43 |
| 9 | Lens | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 38 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Rennes | 28 | 10 | 2 | 16 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 32 |
| 13 | NantesNantes | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 30 |
| 14 | Reims | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 29 |
| 15 | Angers | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 28 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 27 |
| 17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 64 | -36 | 23 |
| 18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 28 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 21 | 64 | -43 | 15 |
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
