Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 54.21%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 23.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Lyon |
54.21% (![]() | 22.28% | 23.52% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.15% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.75% | 40.25% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.38% | 62.62% (![]() |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.16% | 14.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.85% (![]() | 43.15% (![]() |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.46% (![]() | 30.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.24% (![]() | 66.76% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 9.78% 1-0 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 8.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.22% 3-0 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.69% 4-1 @ 2.97% 4-0 @ 2.5% 4-2 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.13% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.06% Total : 54.21% | 1-1 @ 10.25% 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 4.53% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.27% | 1-2 @ 6.08% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.38% 0-2 @ 3.19% 1-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 2.91% Total : 23.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |