Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 54.21%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 23.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Lyon |
54.21% (![]() | 22.28% | 23.52% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.15% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.75% | 40.25% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.38% | 62.62% (![]() |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.16% | 14.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.85% (![]() | 43.15% (![]() |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.46% (![]() | 30.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.24% (![]() | 66.76% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 9.78% 1-0 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 8.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.22% 3-0 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.69% 4-1 @ 2.97% 4-0 @ 2.5% 4-2 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.13% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.06% Total : 54.21% | 1-1 @ 10.25% 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 4.53% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.27% | 1-2 @ 6.08% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.38% 0-2 @ 3.19% 1-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 2.91% Total : 23.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 33 | 52 | 78 |
2 | Marseille | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 59 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 58 |
4 | Nice | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60 | 39 | 21 | 57 |
5 | Lille | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 57 |
6 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 57 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 54 |
8 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 48 |
9 | Brest | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 47 |
10 | Auxerre | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 41 |
11 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 2 | 18 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 38 |
13 | Reims | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 33 |
14 | Angers | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 33 |
15 | NantesNantes | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 32 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 31 |
17 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 35 | 74 | -39 | 27 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 72 | -50 | 16 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |