Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.91%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 27.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Getafe | 
| 43.91% ( | 28.9% ( | 27.18% ( | 
| Both teams to score 42.72% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 36.7% ( | 63.3% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 17.32% ( | 82.68% ( | 
| Valencia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.25% ( | 28.74% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.42% ( | 64.58% ( | 
| Getafe Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 59.95% ( | 40.05% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.3% ( | 76.69% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Valencia | Draw | Getafe | 
| 1-0 @ 14.35% ( 2-0 @ 8.95% ( 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 3-0 @ 3.72% ( 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 3-2 @ 1.56% ( 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 4-1 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 1.53% Total : 43.91%  | 1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0-0 @ 11.51% ( 2-2 @ 3.75% ( Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.9%  | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( 1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 2-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 1.37% Total : 27.18%  | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 | 
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 | 
| 8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 | 
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 | 
| 10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 | 
| 11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 | 
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 | 
| 13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 | 
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 | 
| 15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 | 
| 16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 | 
| 17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 | 
| 18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 | 
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 | 
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 | 
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