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Las Palmas
La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 3, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Gran Canaria
Valencia logo

Las Palmas
2 - 3
Valencia

Ramirez (45+2' pen.), McBurnie (83')
Bajcetic (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Duro (22', 58'), Suarez (75' og.)
Guerra (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Las Palmas and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Las Palmas
Wednesday, April 23 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Espanyol
Tuesday, April 22 at 6pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
Las PalmasDrawValencia
34.04% (0.551 0.55)25.93% (0.089000000000002 0.09)40.03% (-0.643 -0.64)
Both teams to score 54.16% (-0.16 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.87% (-0.267 -0.27)50.12% (0.264 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.91% (-0.237 -0.24)72.09% (0.23400000000001 0.23)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.91% (0.214 0.21)28.09% (-0.218 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.24% (0.275 0.27)63.75% (-0.279 -0.28)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.32% (-0.453 -0.45)24.68% (0.451 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.79% (-0.637 -0.64)59.21% (0.634 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Las Palmas 34.04%
    Valencia 40.03%
    Draw 25.92%
Las PalmasDrawValencia
1-0 @ 8.8% (0.147 0.15)
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.076 0.08)
2-0 @ 5.59% (0.126 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.31% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.37% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 34.04%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.93% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 9.7% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.79% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.091 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.17% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.41% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 40.03%

How you voted: Las Palmas vs Valencia

Las Palmas
44.6%
Draw
25.7%
Valencia
29.7%
74
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 10
Valencia
2-3
Las Palmas
Pepelu (14' pen.), Tarrega (90+4')
Pepelu (8'), Rozada (28'), Abajas Martin (30')
Pepelu (69')
Munoz (43'), Silva (53'), Moleiro (84')
Silva (7'), Rioja (8'), Campana (12'), Essugo (23'), Barrenechea (37'), Cardona (70'), Rodriguez (71'), Suarez (77'), Munoz (82'), Moleiro (90+8')
Feb 10, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 24
Las Palmas
2-0
Valencia
Suarez (89'), Cardona (90+5')
Marmol (48'), Cardona (90+5')
Aug 18, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 2
Valencia
1-0
Las Palmas
Pepelu (74' pen.)
Jan 20, 2018 7.45pm
Las Palmas
2-1
Valencia
Viera (20'), Calleri (53' pen.)
Samperio (73'), Halilovic (76')
Mina (5')
Lato (21'), Vezo (26'), Paulista (52'), Montoya (62'), Zaza (70'), Neto (72'), Coquelin (90')
Paulista (52'), Vezo (87')
Jan 9, 2018 8.30pm
Fifth Round
Valencia
4-0
Las Palmas
Vietto (30', 48', 66'), Maksimovic (54')
Latorre (81')

Garcia (90')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona382846102396388
2Real Madrid38266678384084
3Atletico MadridAtletico382210668303876
4Athletic Bilbao381913654292570
5Villarreal382010871512070
6Real BetisBetis381612105750760
7Celta Vigo38167155957255
8Osasuna381216104852-452
9Rayo Vallecano381313124145-452
10Mallorca38139163544-948
11Valencia381113144454-1046
12Real Sociedad38137183546-1146
13Getafe38119183439-542
14AlavesAlaves381012163848-1042
15Espanyol38119184051-1142
16Sevilla381011174255-1341
17GironaGirona38118194460-1641
18Leganes38913163956-1740
RLas PalmasLas Palmas3888224061-2132
RReal ValladolidValladolid3844302690-6416


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