Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.43%. A draw has a probability of 16.5% and a win for Valencia has a probability of 12.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.43%) and 3-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Valencia win it is 1-2 (3.52%).
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Valencia |
| 71.43% ( | 16.54% ( | 12.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.37% ( | 33.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.55% ( | 55.45% ( |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.7% ( | 8.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 71.05% ( | 28.95% ( |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.49% ( | 39.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.79% ( | 76.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Valencia |
| 2-0 @ 10.15% ( 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 3-0 @ 8.43% ( 1-0 @ 8.16% ( 3-1 @ 7.83% ( 4-0 @ 5.25% ( 4-1 @ 4.87% ( 3-2 @ 3.63% ( 5-0 @ 2.61% ( 5-1 @ 2.43% ( 4-2 @ 2.26% ( 5-2 @ 1.13% ( 6-0 @ 1.08% ( 6-1 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 3.17% Total : 71.43% | 1-1 @ 7.58% ( 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0-0 @ 3.28% ( 3-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 16.54% | 1-2 @ 3.52% ( 0-1 @ 3.04% ( 0-2 @ 1.41% ( 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 1-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 1.61% Total : 12.03% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 |
| 8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 |
| 10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 |
| 11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 |
| 13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 |
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 |
| 16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 |
| 17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 |
| 18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 |
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 |
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