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La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 5, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Valencia logo

Real Madrid
1 - 2
Valencia

Junior (50')
Ancelotti (22')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Diakhaby (15'), Duro (90+5')
Tarrega (10'), Sadiq (46'), Mosquera (90+8'), Aarons (90+5')

The Match

Match Report

Valencia score a last-gasp winner through Hugo Duro to record a 2-1 victory over Real Madrid in Saturday's La Liga contest at Bernabeu.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Valencia.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with Valencia at Bernabeu.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Valencia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 4-4 Real Sociedad
Tuesday, April 1 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Mallorca
Sunday, March 30 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.43%. A draw has a probability of 16.5% and a win for Valencia has a probability of 12.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.43%) and 3-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.58%), while for a Valencia win it is 1-2 (3.52%).

Result
Real MadridDrawValencia
71.43% (0.84700000000001 0.85)16.54% (-0.523 -0.52)12.03% (-0.322 -0.32)
Both teams to score 55.47% (0.99 0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.37% (1.744 1.74)33.63% (-1.741 -1.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.55% (1.96 1.96)55.45% (-1.958 -1.96)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.7% (0.628 0.63)8.3% (-0.624 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.05% (1.531 1.53)28.95% (-1.53 -1.53)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.49% (0.671 0.67)39.51% (-0.667 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.79% (0.613 0.61)76.2% (-0.61099999999999 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 71.43%
    Valencia 12.03%
    Draw 16.54%
Real MadridDrawValencia
2-0 @ 10.15% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-0 @ 8.43% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 8.16% (-0.502 -0.5)
3-1 @ 7.83% (0.137 0.14)
4-0 @ 5.25% (0.15 0.15)
4-1 @ 4.87% (0.224 0.22)
3-2 @ 3.63% (0.128 0.13)
5-0 @ 2.61% (0.148 0.15)
5-1 @ 2.43% (0.18 0.18)
4-2 @ 2.26% (0.143 0.14)
5-2 @ 1.13% (0.102 0.1)
6-0 @ 1.08% (0.091 0.09)
6-1 @ 1.01% (0.102 0.1)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 71.43%
1-1 @ 7.58% (-0.321 -0.32)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.028 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.28% (-0.306 -0.31)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 16.54%
1-2 @ 3.52% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-1 @ 3.04% (-0.224 -0.22)
0-2 @ 1.41% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 12.03%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Valencia

Real Madrid
83.9%
Draw
8.9%
Valencia
7.1%
112
Head to Head
Jan 3, 2025 8pm
Gameweek 12
Valencia
1-2
Real Madrid
Duro (27')
Canos (69'), Dimitrievski (78')
Modric (85'), Bellingham (90+5')
Ceballos (36'), Vazquez (78'), Modric (87')
Junior (79')
Mar 2, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 27
Valencia
2-2
Real Madrid
Duro (27'), Yaremchuk (30')
Yaremchuk (4'), Diakhaby (83')
Junior (45+5', 76')
Junior (72'), Valverde (80'), Joselu (90+10')
Bellingham (90+10')
Nov 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Real Madrid
5-1
Valencia
Carvajal (3'), Junior (42', 49'), Rodrygo (50', 84')
Camavinga (62')
Duro (88')
Pepelu (34'), Foulquier (56'), Paulista (67')
May 21, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 35
Valencia
1-0
Real Madrid
Lopez (33')
Correia (30'), Kluivert (57'), Comert (70'), Mamardashvili (90+4'), Musah (90+4')

Modric (86'), Rodrygo (86')
Junior (90+7')
Feb 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Real Madrid
2-0
Valencia
Asensio (52'), Junior (54')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona382846102396388
2Real Madrid38266678384084
3Atletico MadridAtletico382210668303876
4Athletic Bilbao381913654292570
5Villarreal382010871512070
6Real BetisBetis381612105750760
7Celta Vigo38167155957255
8Osasuna381216104852-452
9Rayo Vallecano381313124145-452
10Mallorca38139163544-948
11Valencia381113144454-1046
12Real Sociedad38137183546-1146
13Getafe38119183439-542
14AlavesAlaves381012163848-1042
15Espanyol38119184051-1142
16Sevilla381011174255-1341
17GironaGirona38118194460-1641
18Leganes38913163956-1740
RLas PalmasLas Palmas3888224061-2132
RReal ValladolidValladolid3844302690-6416


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