Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.04%) and 1-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Getafe |
30.26% (![]() | 29.14% (![]() | 40.6% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.55% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37% (![]() | 63% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.53% (![]() | 82.46% (![]() |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.62% (![]() | 37.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.84% (![]() | 74.16% (![]() |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.54% (![]() | 30.46% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.33% (![]() | 66.67% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Getafe |
1-0 @ 11.2% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.55% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.51% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 1.75% Total : 30.26% | 1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 11.38% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.9% ( ![]() Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.13% | 0-1 @ 13.53% (![]() 0-2 @ 8.04% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 7.92% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.19% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 1.35% Total : 40.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 33 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 89 | 32 | 57 | 76 |
2 | Real Madrid | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 66 | 31 | 35 | 72 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 66 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 60 |
5 | Villarreal | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 56 | 45 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 54 |
7 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 46 |
8 | Osasuna | 33 | 10 | 14 | 9 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
9 | Mallorca | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 44 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 42 |
11 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 39 |
13 | Espanyol | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 42 | -7 | 39 |
14 | Valencia | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 37 |
16 | GironaGirona | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 35 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 34 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 32 |
19 | Leganes | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 30 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 24 | 81 | -57 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |