La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 6, 2025 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla

Valladolid
0 - 4
Getafe

Latasa (9'), Comert (14'), Sylla (71')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Arambarri (1'), Terrats (19', 38'), Duarte (80')
Iglesias (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Getafe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-1 Valladolid
Saturday, March 29 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Getafe

All competitions

Last Game: Getafe 1-2 Villarreal
Sunday, March 30 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.04%) and 1-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.

Result
Real Valladolid	Draw	Getafe
30.26% ( -2.36)	29.14% ( 0.42)	40.6% ( 1.93)

Both teams to score 43.55% (

-1.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37% (

-1.89)

63% (

1.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.53% (

-1.39)

82.46% (

1.39)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.62% (

-2.77)

37.37% (

2.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.84% (

-2.83)

74.16% (

2.83)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.54% (

0.19)

30.46% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.33% (

0.23)

66.67% (

-0.23)

Score Analysis

Real Valladolid 30.26%

Getafe 40.59%

Draw 29.13%

Real Valladolid	Draw	Getafe
1-0 @ 11.2% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.51) 2-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.46) 3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.35) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.2) Other @ 1.75% Total : 30.26%	1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.78) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.28) Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.13%	0-1 @ 13.53% ( 0.99) 0-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.63) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.35% Total : 40.59%