Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 42.26%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 2-1 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Real Valladolid | 
| 42.26% (  0.88) | 29.5% (  0.17) | 28.24% (  -1.05) | 
| Both teams to score 41.79% (  -0.9) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 35.26% (  -0.87) | 64.74% (  0.87) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 16.29% (  -0.62) | 83.71% (  0.62) | 
| Getafe Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.62% (  0.07) | 30.38% (  -0.06) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.43% (  0.08) | 66.57% (  -0.08) | 
| Real Valladolid Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 60.02% (  -1.36) | 39.98% (  1.36) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.37% (  -1.27) | 76.63% (  1.27) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Getafe | Draw | Real Valladolid | 
| 1-0 @ 14.47% (  0.49) 2-0 @ 8.62% (  0.31) 2-1 @ 7.9% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.42% (  0.13) 3-1 @ 3.14% (  0) 3-2 @ 1.44% (  -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.02% (  0.04) 4-1 @ 0.94% (  0) Other @ 1.31% Total : 42.26% | 1-1 @ 13.26% (  -0.04) 0-0 @ 12.14% (  0.39) 2-2 @ 3.62% (  -0.14) Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.49% | 0-1 @ 11.13% (  -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.08% (  -0.25) 0-2 @ 5.1% (  -0.22) 1-3 @ 1.86% (  -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.56% (  -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.11% (  -0.09) Other @ 1.39% Total : 28.23% |