Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 41.62%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.87%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Alaves | 
| 41.62% (  -0.34) | 30.7% (  0.02) | 27.68% (  0.33) | 
| Both teams to score 38.73% (  0.13) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 31.67% (  0.07) | 68.33% (  -0.06) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 13.85% (  0.05) | 86.15% (  -0.04) | 
| Getafe Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.39% (  -0.17) | 32.61% (  0.17) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.85% (  -0.18) | 69.15% (  0.19) | 
| Alaves Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 57.47% (  0.33) | 42.53% (  -0.32) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.11% (  0.28) | 78.89% (  -0.27) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Getafe | Draw | Alaves | 
| 1-0 @ 15.54% (  -0.11) 2-0 @ 8.71% (  -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.44% (  -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.25% (  -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.78% (  -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.19% (  0) 4-0 @ 0.91% (  -0.02) Other @ 1.79% Total : 41.62% | 0-0 @ 13.87% (  -0.03) 1-1 @ 13.28% (  0.02) 2-2 @ 3.18% (  0.02) Other @ 0.36% Total : 30.69% | 0-1 @ 11.85% (  0.07) 1-2 @ 5.68% (  0.06) 0-2 @ 5.07% (  0.08) 1-3 @ 1.62% (  0.03) 0-3 @ 1.44% (  0.03) 2-3 @ 0.91% (  0.01) Other @ 1.11% Total : 27.68% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 102 | 39 | 63 | 88 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 78 | 38 | 40 | 84 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 68 | 30 | 38 | 76 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 70 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 70 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 60 | 
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 57 | 2 | 55 | 
| 8 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 | 
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 52 | 
| 10 | Mallorca | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 48 | 
| 11 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 46 | 
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 46 | 
| 13 | Getafe | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 | 
| 14 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 42 | 
| 15 | Espanyol | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 42 | 
| 16 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 41 | 
| 17 | GironaGirona | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 41 | 
| 18 | Leganes | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 39 | 56 | -17 | 40 | 
| R | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 32 | 
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 26 | 90 | -64 | 16 | 
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