La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 7

Sep 24, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
3 - 2
Alaves

Vazquez (1'), Mbappe (40'), Rodrygo (48')
Valverde (4'), Junior (30'), Endrick (83'), Modric (90+6')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Benavidez (85'), Kike (86')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 4-1 Espanyol
Saturday, September 21 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Alaves 2-1 Sevilla
Friday, September 20 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 73.42%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 9.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.3%) and 3-0 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Alaves
73.42% ( -0.05)	16.84% ( 0.04)	9.75% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 45.69% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.04% (

-0.13)

41.96% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.64% (

-0.13)

64.36% (

0.14)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.06% (

-0.04)

9.94% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.1% (

-0.11)

32.9% (

0.11)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.74% (

-0.06)

49.26% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.86% (

-0.04)

84.14% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 73.4%

Alaves 9.75%

Draw 16.84%

Real Madrid	Draw	Alaves
2-0 @ 13.04% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 73.4%	1-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0) Other @ 0.66% Total : 16.84%	0-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 2.83% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 9.75%