La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 10

Oct 18, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
2 - 3
Valladolid

Martinez (6'), Kike (90+7')
Diarra (68'), Sanchez (78'), Tenaglia (80'), Kike (90+9'), Abqar (90+11')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sylla (17' pen.), Amallah (72' pen.), Anuar (76')
Moro (57'), Pezzolano (81'), Latasa (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Alaves 0-3 Barcelona
Sunday, October 6 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Last Game: Valladolid 1-2 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, October 5 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 24.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Real Valladolid
50.1% ( 0.94)	25.38% ( 0.46)	24.52% ( -1.4)

Both teams to score 50.22% (

-2.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.4% (

-2.93)

52.6% (

2.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.75% (

-2.57)

74.25% (

2.57)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.99% (

-0.78)

21.01% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.21% (

-1.23)

53.79% (

1.24)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.57% (

-2.79)

36.43% (

2.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.79% (

-2.92)

73.21% (

2.93)

Score Analysis

Alaves 50.1%

Real Valladolid 24.52%

Draw 25.37%

Alaves	Draw	Real Valladolid
1-0 @ 11.94% ( 1.07) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.63) 3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.47% Total : 50.1%	1-1 @ 12.05% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.85) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.41) Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.37%	0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.37) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.84% Total : 24.52%