Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Athletic Bilbao | 
| 28.85% (  0.09) | 27.81% (  0.04) | 43.34% (  -0.13) | 
| Both teams to score 46.5% (  -0.07) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 40.99% (  -0.11) | 59.01% (  0.11) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 20.52% (  -0.09) | 79.47% (  0.09) | 
| Real Valladolid Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 63.7% (  0.01) | 36.3% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.92% (  0.01) | 73.08% (  -0.01) | 
| Athletic Bilbao Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73% (  -0.12) | 27% (  0.12) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.64% (  -0.16) | 62.36% (  0.16) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Athletic Bilbao | 
| 1-0 @ 9.93% (  0.04) 2-1 @ 6.59% (  0.01) 2-0 @ 5.03% (  0.02) 3-1 @ 2.23% (  0) 3-0 @ 1.7% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 1.46% (  -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 28.85% | 1-1 @ 13% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 9.8% (  0.04) 2-2 @ 4.31% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.81% | 0-1 @ 12.83% (  0.01) 1-2 @ 8.51% (  -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.4% (  -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.72% (  -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.67% (  -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.88% (  -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.22% (  -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.2% (  -0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 43.34% |