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La Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 10, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla
Athletic Bilbao logo

Valladolid
1 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Moro (79')
Anuar (19'), Pezzolano (45+4'), Torres (72'), Martin Rielves (78'), Comert (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Guruzeta (90+4')
Jauregizar (26'), Prados (43'), Vesga (66'), Marton (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ludogorets 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawAthletic Bilbao
28.85% (0.088000000000001 0.09)27.81% (0.043000000000003 0.04)43.34% (-0.13099999999999 -0.13)
Both teams to score 46.5% (-0.073 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.99% (-0.114 -0.11)59.01% (0.114 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.52% (-0.087999999999997 -0.09)79.47% (0.088000000000008 0.09)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.7% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)36.3% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.92% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)73.08% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (-0.122 -0.12)27% (0.122 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64% (-0.161 -0.16)62.36% (0.16 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 28.85%
    Athletic Bilbao 43.34%
    Draw 27.81%
Real ValladolidDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.93% (0.045 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.59% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.03% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.23% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.7% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 28.85%
1-1 @ 13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.8% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 12.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.4% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.72% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 43.34%

How you voted: Valladolid vs Athletic Bilbao

Real Valladolid
10.1%
Draw
5.1%
Athletic Bilbao
84.8%
79
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 26
Valladolid
1-3
Athletic Bilbao
Larin (74')
Martinez (30'), Guruzeta (57'), Vesga (78' pen.)
Nov 8, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 14
Athletic Bilbao
3-0
Valladolid
Guruzeta (18', 51'), Vivian (78')
Apr 28, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 33
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
Valladolid
Morcillo (14'), Garcia (76')
Sancet (61')
Orellana (70'), Weissman (85')
El Yamiq (90+1')
Nov 8, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Valladolid
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Orellana (19' pen.), Maranhao (48')
Hervias (38'), Alcaraz (66'), Masip (71'), Garcia Carnero (90+1')
Williams (86' pen.)
Simon (17'), Muniain (66')
Mar 8, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 27
Valladolid
1-4
Athletic Bilbao
Ramirez (76')
Ben Arfa (90')
Lopez (4'), Garcia (24'), Williams (87'), Cordoba (90')
Lopez (49'), Garcia (80')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona382846102396388
2Real Madrid38266678384084
3Atletico MadridAtletico382210668303876
4Athletic Bilbao381913654292570
5Villarreal382010871512070
6Real BetisBetis381612105750760
7Celta Vigo38167155957255
8Osasuna381216104852-452
9Rayo Vallecano381313124145-452
10Mallorca38139163544-948
11Valencia381113144454-1046
12Real Sociedad38137183546-1146
13Getafe38119183439-542
14AlavesAlaves381012163848-1042
15Espanyol38119184051-1142
16Sevilla381011174255-1341
17GironaGirona38118194460-1641
18Leganes38913163956-1740
RLas PalmasLas Palmas3888224061-2132
RReal ValladolidValladolid3844302690-6416


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