Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest win was 1-0 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%).
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 30.45% | 28.71% | 40.84% |
| Both teams to score 44.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.47% | 61.52% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.61% | 81.38% |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.57% | 36.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.79% | 73.21% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.41% | 29.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.38% | 65.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 10.88% 2-1 @ 6.69% 2-0 @ 5.5% 3-1 @ 2.25% 3-0 @ 1.85% 3-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.9% Total : 30.44% | 1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.77% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.7% | 0-1 @ 13.12% 1-2 @ 8.07% 0-2 @ 7.99% 1-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 1.66% 1-4 @ 1% 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.49% Total : 40.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 56 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 48 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 45 |
| 5 | Real BetisBetis | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 42 |
| 6 | Villarreal | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 35 |
| 8 | Osasuna | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 34 |
| 9 | Athletic Bilbao | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 33 |
| 10 | Mallorca | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 32 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 31 |
| 12 | GironaGirona | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 30 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 28 |
| 14 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 28 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 27 |
| 16 | CadizCadiz | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 27 |
| 17 | Valencia | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 26 |
| 18 | Getafe | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 26 |
| 19 | Almeria | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 | ElcheElche | 25 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 49 | -30 | 13 |
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