

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Volendam in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 40.17% ( | 24.14% ( | 35.69% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.29% ( | 41.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.88% ( | 64.12% ( |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( | 20.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.36% ( | 53.64% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.83% ( | 23.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.95% ( | 57.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 1-0 @ 7.58% ( 2-0 @ 5.93% ( 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 4-0 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 40.17% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0-0 @ 4.85% ( 3-3 @ 1.61% ( Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0-2 @ 5.18% ( 1-3 @ 3.95% ( 2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0-3 @ 2.53% ( 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 35.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 76 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 35 | 47 | 68 |
| 3 | Ajax | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 63 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 61 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 58 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 53 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 51 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 42 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 41 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 38 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 37 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 34 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 39 | 66 | -27 | 33 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 29 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 28 |
| R | Groningen | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 61 | -32 | 18 |
| R | Cambuur | 32 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 65 | -44 | 16 |
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