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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 58.01%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 21.05% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.35%) and 0-1 (8.06%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Twente |
21.05% (![]() | 20.94% | 58.01% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.41% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.98% (![]() | 37.02% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.79% (![]() | 59.21% (![]() |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.11% (![]() | 30.89% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.82% (![]() | 67.18% (![]() |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.41% (![]() | 12.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.31% (![]() | 38.69% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 5.56% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.57% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.69% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.75% Total : 21.05% | 1-1 @ 9.47% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.76% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.89% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.56% ( ![]() Other @ 0.26% Total : 20.94% | 1-2 @ 9.81% (![]() 0-2 @ 8.35% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 8.06% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.78% 0-3 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.98% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.51% 0-4 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.45% 0-5 @ 1.24% Other @ 4.02% Total : 58.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 76 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 35 | 47 | 68 |
3 | Ajax | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 61 |
5 | FC Twente | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 55 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 48 |
8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 53 | -3 | 41 |
9 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 41 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 38 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 37 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 35 |
13 | Vitesse | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 31 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 65 | -28 | 30 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 28 |
R | Groningen | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 61 | -32 | 18 |
R | Cambuur | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 63 | -42 | 16 |
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