| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | RKC Waalwijk | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Emmen | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 | Fortuna Sittard | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | NEC | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 68.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 12.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.19%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 68.93% ( | 18.3% ( | 12.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.13% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.68% ( | 40.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.3% ( | 62.7% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.37% ( | 10.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.54% ( | 34.46% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.21% ( | 42.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.89% ( | 79.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-0 @ 11.42% ( 1-0 @ 10.19% ( 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 3-0 @ 8.54% ( 3-1 @ 7.25% ( 4-0 @ 4.78% ( 4-1 @ 4.06% ( 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 5-0 @ 2.15% ( 5-1 @ 1.82% ( 4-2 @ 1.72% ( Other @ 4.22% Total : 68.92% | 1-1 @ 8.66% ( 0-0 @ 4.55% ( 2-2 @ 4.12% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 18.3% | 0-1 @ 3.86% ( 1-2 @ 3.67% ( 0-2 @ 1.64% ( 2-3 @ 1.17% ( 1-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 1.38% Total : 12.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 25 | 24 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 22 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 6 | 22 | 20 |
| 5 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Heracles | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 9 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Vitesse | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | PEC Zwolle | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 7 |
| 15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
| 16 | Ajax | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 3 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
