

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Feyenoord | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Fortuna Sittard | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Cambuur | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 72.98%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 11.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-3 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Ajax |
| 11.19% ( | 15.82% ( | 72.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.57% ( | 32.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.93% ( | 54.06% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.94% ( | 40.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.29% ( | 76.7% ( |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.31% ( | 7.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 72.6% ( | 27.39% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 3.3% ( 1-0 @ 2.81% ( 3-2 @ 1.29% ( 2-0 @ 1.29% ( 3-1 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 1.49% Total : 11.19% | 1-1 @ 7.22% ( 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0-0 @ 3.08% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 15.82% | 0-2 @ 10.13% ( 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0-3 @ 8.67% ( 1-3 @ 7.93% ( 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0-4 @ 5.56% ( 1-4 @ 5.09% ( 2-3 @ 3.63% ( 0-5 @ 2.86% ( 1-5 @ 2.61% ( 2-4 @ 2.33% ( 0-6 @ 1.22% ( 2-5 @ 1.2% ( 1-6 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 3.48% Total : 72.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 9 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 8 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Heerenveen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Heracles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Ajax | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 12 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | FC VolendamVolendam | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 0 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 0 |
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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