

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 25.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 50.53% ( | 23.52% ( | 25.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.41% ( | 43.59% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.02% ( | 65.98% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.66% ( | 17.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.28% ( | 47.71% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.62% ( | 30.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.42% ( | 66.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 1-0 @ 9.23% ( 2-0 @ 8.09% ( 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 3-0 @ 4.72% ( 3-2 @ 3.35% ( 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 4-2 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 3.87% Total : 50.53% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0-0 @ 5.27% ( 3-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.52% | 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0-1 @ 6.27% ( 0-2 @ 3.74% ( 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0-3 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 3.02% Total : 25.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 19 | 18 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 16 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 15 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 5 | 18 | 14 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Go Ahead Eagles | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Heracles | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
| 12 | Heerenveen | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 6 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | Ajax | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 3 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 3 |
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 1 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
