Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 7

Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK

Goodison Park

Everton
1 - 2
Luton

Calvert-Lewin (41')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Lockyer (24'), Morris (31')
Kabore (66')

The Match

Match Report

Luton Town record their first-ever Premier League victory with a 2-1 triumph over Everton at Goodison Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Everton and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-2 Everton
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luton Town

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Luton
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Everton	Draw	Luton Town
37.13% ( 0.04)	27.91% ( -0.01)	34.96% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 48.02% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.04% (

0.04)

57.96% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.35% (

0.03)

78.66% (

-0.03)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.98% (

0.04)

30.02% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.86% (

0.05)

66.14% (

-0.05)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.62% (

31.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.25% (

67.75% (

Score Analysis

Everton 37.12%

Luton Town 34.95%

Draw 27.91%

Everton	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 37.12%	1-1 @ 13.13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.91%	0-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 34.95%