Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.