Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 41.61%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 29.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.37%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.