Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.