Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 49.06%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 24.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Casa Pia | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
49.06% (![]() | 26.03% (![]() | 24.91% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.7% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.23% (![]() | 54.76% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.92% (![]() | 76.08% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.64% (![]() | 22.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.15% (![]() | 55.84% (![]() |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.73% (![]() | 37.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.94% (![]() | 74.06% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Casa Pia | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
1-0 @ 12.48% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.35% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.23% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.67% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.61% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.73% ( ![]() Other @ 2.98% Total : 49.06% | 1-1 @ 12.31% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.33% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.55% ( ![]() Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 8.22% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.08% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.06% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 1.72% Total : 24.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 |
3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 |
6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 |
11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 |
14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 |
15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 |
18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |