

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Casa Pia | 
| 38.23% (  0.34) | 27.58% (  -0) | 34.19% (  -0.33) | 
| Both teams to score 48.95% (  -0.03) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 43.24% (  -0.02) | 56.76% (  0.02) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 22.29% (  -0.01) | 77.71% (  0.01) | 
| Boavista Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.22% (  0.19) | 28.78% (  -0.19) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.38% (  0.24) | 64.62% (  -0.24) | 
| Casa Pia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.72% (  -0.23) | 31.28% (  0.23) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.37% (  -0.26) | 67.63% (  0.26) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Boavista | Draw | Casa Pia | 
| 1-0 @ 11.21% (  0.07) 2-1 @ 8.12% (  0.04) 2-0 @ 6.98% (  0.08) 3-1 @ 3.37% (  0.03) 3-0 @ 2.9% (  0.05) 3-2 @ 1.96% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 1.05% (  0.02) 4-0 @ 0.9% (  0.02) Other @ 1.74% Total : 38.23% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9% (  0.01) 2-2 @ 4.72% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.58% | 0-1 @ 10.46% (  -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.57% (  -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.08% (  -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.93% (  -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.36% (  -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.83% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.19% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 22 | 
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 
| 3 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 
| 4 | Porto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 
| 5 | Braga | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 17 | 
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 
| 7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 | 
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 
| 9 | PortimonensePortimonense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 11 | 
| 10 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 10 | 
| 11 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 | 
| 12 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 | 
| 13 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 7 | 
| 14 | ChavesChaves | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 7 | 
| 15 | Vizela | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 6 | 
| 16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 | 
| 17 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 | 
| 18 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 4 | 
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
